1,773 | 10 | 25 |
下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
中外学者对地质灾害风险评价研究成果颇丰,有必要进行阶段性整理。搜集1992—2020年CNKI数据库的2308篇和WOS数据库的884篇文章,运用文献计量和传统文献研究方法,全面梳理了包括热点、主题、主要研究团队与机构、历程、对象演变、内涵发展以及评价方法等方面当前已有的研究成果。明确了研究的阶段性划分并发现研究具有主题明确化、维度综合化和方法科学化等趋势,给出几点思考供同侪研究者参考。
Abstract:Chinese and foreign scholars have made abundant achievements in the study of geological hazard risk assessment.This paper collected 2,308 articles from CNKI database and 884 articles from WOS database from 1992 to 2020,and comprehensively sorted out existing research results by comprehensively using literature measurement and traditional literature research methods.The research scope includes the hot spot,theme,main research team and institution,course,object evolution,connotation development and evaluation method in the field of geological disaster risk,and looking forward to the research trend. At the same time,some prospects are given for the reference of other researchers.
[1] William J Petak Arthur A Atkisson.自然灾害风险评价与减灾政策[M].向立云等,译.北京:地震出版社,1993:15-18.
[2]徐继维,张茂省.泥石流风险评估综述[J].灾害学,2016,31(4):157-161.
[3]刘希林,尚志海.自然灾害风险主要分析方法及其适用性述评[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(11):1486-1497.
[4]王萍,刘涛,杜萍,杨国林. 2000-2017年中国灾害风险研究的知识图谱分析[J].自然灾害学报,2019,28(4):169-177.
[5]陈悦,陈超美,刘则渊,等. CiteSpace知识图谱的方法论功能[J].科学学研究,2015,33(2):242-253.
[6] Brabb E E,Pampeyan E H,Bonilla M G.Landslide susceptibility in San Mateo County[M]. Miscellaneous Field Studies Map,1972.
[7] Brand E W. Landslide risk assessment in Hong Kong[J]. Landslide,1988:1059-1074.
[8] IDNDR Secretariat. Guiding Principles for Effective Early Warning[J]. Geneva:United Nation,1997.
[9] International Strategy of Disaster Reduction(ISDR)and Integrated Disaster Reduction in China[J]. Natural Disaster Reduction in China,2001(4):121-128.
[10] IDNDR Secretariat. Guiding Principles for Effective Early Warning[J]. Geneva:United Nation,1997.
[11] Shaukat A.Khan,Kypros Pilakoutas,Iman Hajirasouliha et al.Seismic risk assessment for developing countries:Pakistan as a case study[J].Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,2018,17(4):787-804.
[12]唐亚明,冯卫,李政国,等.滑坡风险管理综述[J].灾害学,2015,30(1):141-149.
[13]张铎,吴中海,李家存,等.国内外地震滑坡研究综述[J].地质力学学报,2013,19(3):225-241.
[14]李星苇,孙桂丽,龙泓宇,等. 1988-2017年城市水文灾害风险评估研究进展[J].四川理工学院学报(自然科学版),2018,31(4):74-82.
[15]李超超,田军仓,申若竹.洪涝灾害风险评估研究进展[J].灾害学,2020,35(3):131-136.
[16]殷跃平,王文沛.高位远程滑坡动力侵蚀犁切计算模型研究[J/OL].岩石力学与工程学报:1-9[2020-07-15]. https://doi. org/10.13722/j. cnki.jrme.2020.0062.
[17]陈武,李瑞敏,殷志强,等.贵州乌蒙山毕节市七星关区资源环境承载能力评价[J].地质通报,2020,39(1):114-123.
[18]王瑛,林齐根,史培军.中国地质灾害伤亡事件的空间格局及影响因素[J].地理学报,2017,72(5):906-917.
[19]孙立凡,张录平,高乔乔,等.基于GIS空间分析的矿区环境问题感知研究——以平朔露天煤矿区为例[J].陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版),2017,45(3):88-93.
[20] UNDRO.N3tural Disasters and Vulnerability Analysis[R]. Geneva:Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Coordinator,1982.
[21] Varnes D J.Landslide hazard zonation:A review of principles and practice[R]. Paris:United Nations International,1984.
[22] WCED. Report of the world commission on environment and development our common future[R]. Oxford:Oxford University Press,1987.
[23] UNDHA. Internationally agreed glossary of basie terms related to disaster management[R]. Geneva:United Nations Department of Humanitarian Affairs,1992.
[24] Smith W,Dowell J. A case study of co-ordinative decision-making in disaster management[J]. Ergonomics,2000,43(8):1153-1166.
[25] Fell R et al. A framework for landslide risk assessment and management[R]. Canada:Conference:Proceedings,International Conference on Landslide Risk Management,2005.
[26] Amina Aitsi-Selmi,Virginia Murray,Chadia Wannous et al. Reflections on a Science and Technology Agenda for 21st Century Disaster Risk Reduction Based on the Scientific Content of the 2016 UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-203[J].International Journal of Disaster Risk Science,2016,7(1):1-29.
[27] Fell R et al.Landslide risk assessment and acceptable risk[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal,1994,31(2):261-272.
[28] Cardinalli M, Reichenbach P, Guzzetti F et al. A geomorphological approach to the estimation of landslide hazards and risk in Umbria,Central Italy[J].Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Sciences,2002,2:57-72.
[29] Picarelli L,Oboni F,Evans S G et al.Hazard Characterization and Quantification[C]. Proceedings of International Conference on Landslide Risk Management, Vancouver, Canada. London:Taylor and Francis,2005:27-61.
[30] Stoffel M.A review of studies dealing with tree rings and rockfall activity:the role of dendrogeomorphology in natural hazards research[J]. Natural Hazards,2006,39:51-70.
[31] Australian Geomechanics Society.Landslide risk management[J]. Australian Geomechanics, 2007, 42(1):1-36.
[32] Dussauge-Peisser,C et al.Probabilistic approach to rock fall hazard assessment:potential of historical data analysis[J]. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2002,2(1-2):15-26.
[33] Marino A et al.Hyperpectral remote sensing and GIS techniques application for the evaluation and monitoring of interactions between natural risks and industrial hazards[C]. Conference on Hyperspectral Remote Sensing of the Land and Atmosphere, Sendai, Japan.Spie-Int Soc Optical Engineering,2001:231-236.
[34] Carrara A et al.GIS Techniques and Statistical-models in Evaluating Landslide Hazard[J]. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms,1991,16(5):427-445.
[35] Cichowicz A et al.Expert-System for Seismic Hazard Analysis[J]. Transactions of the Institution of Mining and Metallurgy Section A-mining Industry, 1993,102:173-180.
[36] G. Benito,Alfonso Benito-Calvo,Francesc Gallart et al. Hydrological and geomorphological criteria to evaluate the dispersion risk of waste sludge generated by the Aznalcollar mine spill(SW Spain)[J]. Environmental Geology,2001,40:4-5.
[37]张彬,王钊,彭亚明,等.三峡库区某滑坡的稳定性分析与评价[J].人民长江,2003(4):14-16.
[38] Papoulia J et al.Bayesian estimation of strong earthquakes in the Inner Messiniakos fault zone,southern Greece, based on seismological and geological data[J]. Journal of Seismology,2001,5(2):233-242.
[39] Shimono M et al.Risk assessment approach for underground research laboratory[C]. ISRM International Symposium/3rd Asian Rock Mechanics Symposium(ARMS),Kyoto,Japan.Millpress Science Publishers,2004:359-365.
[40]唐川,周钜,朱静.云南崩塌滑坡危险度分区的模糊综合分析法[J].水土保持学报,1994(4):48-54.
[41]褚桂棠,夏建平.灰色系统理论在地质灾害研究中的应用[J].江苏地质,1993,17(3):196-200.
[42]吴益平,唐辉明,葛修润. BP模型在区域滑坡灾害风险预测中的应用[J].岩土力学,2005(9):1409-1413.
[43]刘毅,黄建毅,马丽.基于DEA模型的我国自然灾害区域脆弱性评价[J].地理研究,2010,29(7):1153-1162.
[44] Kaplan S, Garrick B. On the quantitative definition of risk[J]. Risk Analysis,1981,1(1):11-27.
基本信息:
DOI:10.13693/j.cnki.cn21-1573.2024.01.012
中图分类号:P694
引用信息:
[1]张铎,冯东梅,王来贵,等.中外地质灾害风险评价研究文献综述[J].防灾减灾学报,2024,40(01):85-94.DOI:10.13693/j.cnki.cn21-1573.2024.01.012.
基金信息:
辽宁省教育厅基本科研项目:资源枯竭型城市韧性评估与提升路径研究——以抚顺市为例(LJKQR20222542); 国家重点研发计划项目:西露天矿区环境地质灾害风险评估(2017YFC1503102)